Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 5.569015 6.140004 6.748748 7.446825 8.226190 9.070620 10.056281
2025-12-14 4.541239 5.297921 6.156569 7.206146 8.458674 9.910599 11.728545
2025-12-21 3.863379 4.733186 5.775340 7.123069 8.830038 10.933416 13.742189
2025-12-28 3.442561 4.407567 5.622080 7.275846 9.489045 12.376767 16.475797
2026-01-04 3.092955 4.119130 5.469030 7.395329 10.106930 13.837751 19.446198
2026-01-11 2.772925 3.824956 5.264782 7.408302 10.568115 15.133442 22.373311
2026-01-18 2.482846 3.534142 5.025065 7.331473 10.877710 16.237513 25.171440
2026-01-25 2.232222 3.269001 4.787609 7.220787 11.110152 17.240116 27.947199
2026-02-01 2.017847 3.032720 4.563886 7.097936 11.297425 18.181006 30.748046
2026-02-08 1.832940 2.821245 4.353542 6.966798 11.445995 19.064044 33.567998
2026-02-15 1.689958 2.660533 4.204834 6.915276 11.714122 20.172785 36.951022
2026-02-22 1.601859 2.578857 4.173915 7.054965 12.324952 21.956476 41.878076
2026-03-01 1.483076 2.437896 4.034713 6.997832 12.587705 23.162113 45.931227
2026-03-08 1.358839 2.276589 3.845616 6.830418 12.624327 23.942466 49.251005
2026-03-15 1.267968 2.164876 3.732294 6.789123 12.895854 25.219415 53.858914
2026-03-22 1.216736 2.118575 3.731041 6.958663 13.604632 27.486471 61.102799
2026-03-29 1.164290 2.065192 3.711235 7.088769 14.247843 29.706273 68.668040
2026-04-05 1.102710 1.989459 3.642169 7.111851 14.666554 31.492654 75.527425
2026-04-12 1.035961 1.898362 3.535330 7.045319 14.880736 32.844026 81.547273
2026-04-19 0.971260 1.805994 3.417912 6.943828 15.003238 33.996790 87.273056
2026-04-26 0.910789 1.717195 3.300064 6.829013 15.080436 35.050407 92.943006
2026-05-03 0.854523 1.632504 3.183556 6.705175 15.120957 36.018447 98.573097
2026-05-10 0.810139 1.568483 3.104427 6.656953 15.337643 37.468182 105.942836